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The mediating effect of air pollution on the association between meteorological factors and influenza-like illness in China

The mediating effect of air pollution on the association between meteorological factors and influenza-like illness in China

Yan, Qinling, Cheke, Robert ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7437-1934 and Tang, Sanyi (2025) The mediating effect of air pollution on the association between meteorological factors and influenza-like illness in China. BMC Public Health, 25:526. ISSN 1471-2458 (Online) (doi:10.1186/s12889-025-21651-5)

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49675 CHEKE_The_Mediating_Effect_Of_Air_Pollution_On_The_Association_Between_Meteorological_Factors_And_Influenza-Like_Illness_In_China_(OA)_2025.pdf - Published Version
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Abstract

Purpose: Although numerous studies have explored the complex relationship between air pollution, meteorological factors and respiratory infections, evidence for a mediating effect of air pollutants being involved in the association between meteorological factors and Influenza-like illness (ILI) is limited.
Methods: Correlations among ILI cases, air pollutants and meteorological factors were examined with Pearson correlation analyses. Further, we formulated six candidate mediation models to explore the mediating effect of air pollutant on the association between meteorological factors and ILI infections.
Results: The meteorological factors minimum temperature/maximum humidity moderated by maximum humidity/minimum temperature and pressure directly affect ILI infections, and that some of meteorological factors can also indirectly affect them through air pollutants. Increases in maximum humidity and minimum temperature can directly reduce the numbers of ILI cases, or indirectly reduce them by reducing the concentration of air pollutants.
Conclusion: When the haze with low temperature, low humidity is forecasted by the meteorological agency, the environmental protection departments can take effective control measures to reduce the concentration of air pollutants, and public health departments should advocate human behavioral changes in order to mitigate and control ILI prevalence.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: mediating effect, model selection, air pollution, meteorological factors, influenza-like illness (ILI)
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
R Medicine > R Medicine (General)
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Faculty / School / Research Centre / Research Group: Faculty of Engineering & Science
Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute
Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute > Centre for Sustainable Agriculture 4 One Health
Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute > Centre for Sustainable Agriculture 4 One Health > Behavioural Ecology
Last Modified: 10 Feb 2025 16:11
URI: http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/49675

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