Linking key intervention timings to rapid decline of the COVID-19 effective reproductive number to quantify lessons from mainland China
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Xiao, Yanni, Tang, Biao, Wu, Jianhong, Cheke, Robert 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7437-1934 and Tang, Sanyi
(2020)
Linking key intervention timings to rapid decline of the COVID-19 effective reproductive number to quantify lessons from mainland China.
International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 97.
pp. 296-298.
ISSN 1201-9712 (Print), 1878-3511 (Online)
(doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.030)
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Abstract
Effective reproductive numbers (Rt) were calculated from data on the COVID-19 outbreak in China and linked to dates in 2020 when different interventions were enacted. From a maximum of 3.98 before the lockdown of Wuhan City, the values of Rt declined to below 1 by the second week of February, after construction of hospitals dedicated to COVID-19 patients. The Rt continued to decline following additional measures in line with the policy of “early detection, early report, early quarantine and early treatment”. The results provide quantitative evaluations of how intervention measures succeeded and their timings, from which lessons can be learnt by other countries and those dealing with future outbreaks.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | ** Article version: AM ** From Elsevier via Jisc Publications Router ** History: accepted 04-06-2020; issue date 12-06-2020. ** Licence for AM version of this article starting on 08-06-2020: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | effective reproductive number; intervention timing; COVID-19; lockdown |
| Subjects: | Q Science > Q Science (General) Q Science > QR Microbiology Q Science > QR Microbiology > QR355 Virology |
| Faculty / School / Research Centre / Research Group: | Faculty of Engineering & Science Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute > Agriculture, Health & Environment Department |
| Related URLs: | |
| SWORD Depositor: | Users 6393 not found. |
| Last Modified: | 06 Jun 2024 14:12 |
| URI: | http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/28566 |
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