Calvert Jump, Robert ORCID: 0000-0002-2967-512X and Michell, Jo (2020) Education and the geography of Brexit. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (JEPOP). ISSN 1745-7289 (Print), 1745-7297 (Online) (In Press) (doi:https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2020.1839471)

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Abstract

While it is well established that educational attainment is highly correlated with Brexit voting patterns, the predictive capacity of education has attracted less attention. Using full-sample and split-sample exercises, this paper demonstrates that educational attainment alone can correctly classify over 90% of local authorities by voting outcome in the 2016 referendum to leave the EU, depending on the prediction model and classification method used. This illustrates the importance of education as a key factor in the geography of Brexit.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Brexit, education, geography, polarisation
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General) L Education > LB Theory and practice of education
Faculty / Department / Research Group:	Faculty of Business Faculty of Business > Department of International Business & Economics
Last Modified:	10 Aug 2021 10:20
Selected for GREAT 2016:	None
Selected for GREAT 2017:	None
Selected for GREAT 2018:	None
Selected for GREAT 2019:	None
Selected for REF2021:	None
URI:	http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/30263

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