Voigt, Maria, Supriatna, Jatna, Deere, Nicolas J., Kastanya, Agustinus, Mitchell, Simon L., Rosa, Isabel M. D., Santika, Truly ORCID: 0000-0002-3125-9467 , Siregar, Rondang, Tasirin, John S., Widyanto, Adi, Winarni, Nurul L., Zakaria, Zuliyanto, Mumbunan, Sonny, Davies, Zoe G. and Struebig, Matthew J. (2021) Emerging threats from deforestation and forest fragmentation in the Wallacea centre of endemism. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (9):094048. ISSN 1748-9326 (Print), 1748-9326 (Online) (doi:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac15cd)

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Abstract

The Wallacea biogeographic region of Sulawesi, the Moluccas and Lesser Sunda, is globally renowned for exceptional endemism, but is currently emerging as a development frontier in Indonesia. We assessed patterns and drivers of forest loss and fragmentation across the region, and used dynamic deforestation models to project future deforestation to 2053. Up to 10,231 km2 was deforested between 2000 and 2018, and a further 49,570 km2 is expected to be lost by 2053, with annual deforestation rates ranging between 0.09% and 2.17% in different sub-regions (average: 1.23%). Key Biodiversity Areas (priority sites for endemic and threatened biodiversity) are particularly vulnerable to deforestation if they are small, coastal and unprotected. Sub-regional variation in deforestation patterns and drivers must be acknowledged if conservation interventions are to be targeted and effective. We provide a valuable baseline from which to monitor Wallacea’s new development course, as Indonesia undergoes profound policy changes that will provide both challenges and opportunities for environmental governance and conservation.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2021 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. As the Version of Record of this article is going to be/has been published on a gold open access basis under a CC BY 3.0 licence, this Accepted Manuscript is available for reuse under a CC BY 3.0 licence immediately. Although reasonable endeavours have been taken to obtain all necessary permissions from third parties to include their copyrighted content within this article, their full citation and copyright line may not be present in this Accepted Manuscript version. Before using any content from this article, please refer to the Version of Record on IOPscience once published for full citation and copyright details, as permission may be required. All third party content is fully copyright protected, and is not published on a gold open access basis under a CC BY licence, unless that is specifically stated in the figure caption in the Version of Record.
Uncontrolled Keywords:	biodiversity; conservation; forest; Indonesia; key biodiversity areas; land-cover change; Maluku; Nusa Tenggara; Sulawesi; tropics
Subjects:	S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Faculty / School / Research Centre / Research Group:	Faculty of Engineering & Science Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute Faculty of Engineering & Science > Natural Resources Institute > Agriculture, Health & Environment Department
Last Modified:	06 Oct 2021 09:07
URI:	http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/33397

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