Forecasting volatility of the ASEAN-5 stock markets: a nonlinear approach with non-normal errors
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Guidi, Francesco and Gupta, Rakesh (2012) Forecasting volatility of the ASEAN-5 stock markets: a nonlinear approach with non-normal errors. Discussion Paper. Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
This paper aims to model and forecast the volatility of stock markets belonging to the five founder members of the Association of South-East Asian Nations, referred to as the ASEAN-5. By using Asymmetric-PARCH (APARCH) models with two different distributions (Student-t and GED) we aim to identify whether or not an asymmetric effect characterises the relation among stock return and volatility in the ASEAN-5 markets as well as under which statistical distribution these models perform better. By using several forecast error measures we show that APARCH models with t-distribution usually perform better.
| Item Type: | Monograph (Discussion Paper) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | [1] Copyright © 2010 by author(s). [2] Discussion Paper Series in Finance, ISSN 1836-8123. [3] Discussion paper - part of the Discussion Paper Series in Finance, published by the Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics at the Griffith Business School, Brisbane, Australia. The discussion papers represent work in progress on a range of finance and financial planning issues and are published on the departmental website. |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | ASEAN, leverage effect, forecast |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HG Finance |
| School / Department / Research Groups: | School of Business School of Business > Department of International Business & Economics |
| Related URLs: | |
| Last Modified: | 24 May 2012 10:05 |
| URI: | http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/8242 |
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