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Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey

Katircioglu, Salih Turan and Feridun, Mete (2011) Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey. Applied Economics Letters, 18 (3). pp. 295-300. ISSN 1350-4851 (print), 1466-4291 (online)

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036841003636110

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) and macroeconomic fundamentals in Turkey using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) within the framework of the canonical currency crisis models. The results of the bounds tests suggest the existence of a level relationship between EMP and the selected macroeconomic fundamentals. The results of the VECM also suggest that there exists a unidirectional causation that runs from those macroeconomic fundamentals to EMP in the case of the Turkish Economy.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: [1] First available online 5th November 2012
Uncontrolled Keywords: Exchange Market Pressure (EMP), macroeconomic fundamentals, Turkey, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
School / Department / Research Groups: School of Business
School of Business > Department of International Business & Economics
Related URLs:
Last Modified: 13 Apr 2012 11:54
URI: http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/7916

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