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The influences of fuzzy demand forecast on bullwhip effect in a serial supply chain

The influences of fuzzy demand forecast on bullwhip effect in a serial supply chain

Xie, Ying (2009) The influences of fuzzy demand forecast on bullwhip effect in a serial supply chain. In: Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management. Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers, Inc, Piscataway, NJ, USA, pp. 1424-1428. ISBN 978-1-4244-4870-8 (electronic), 978-1-4244-4869-2 (print) (doi:10.1109/IEEM.2009.5373056)

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Abstract

Supply chains (SCs) operate in environments where there are various sources of uncertainties. This paper studies influences of fuzzy demand forecast on SC bullwhip effect. A two-echelon serial SC is considered and consists of production and inventory units. Uncertain customer demand and demand forecasted by the in-process facilities in the SC are described by imprecise linguistic expressions and modelled by fuzzy sets. Accuracy of demand forecast is measured via the level of uncertainty in demand. It is shown how fuzzy demand forecast affects the bullwhip effect in the SC, i.e., the sharper the fuzzy demand forecast, the smaller the bullwhip effect.

Item Type: Conference Proceedings
Title of Proceedings: Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
Additional Information: This paper appears in: IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 2009. IEEM 2009 which took place on 8-11 Dec. 2009 in Hong Kong.
Uncontrolled Keywords: Supply chains (SCs), fuzzy demand forecast, SC bullwhip effect, two-echelon serial SC, fuzzy sets
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Faculty / Department / Research Group: Faculty of Business > Department of Systems Management & Strategy
Related URLs:
Last Modified: 14 Oct 2016 09:19
Selected for GREAT 2016: None
Selected for GREAT 2017: None
Selected for GREAT 2018: None
URI: http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/7822

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