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Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology

Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology

Holme, Petter and Rocha, Luis E. C. ORCID: 0000-0001-9046-8739 (2018) Impact of misinformation in temporal network epidemiology. Network Science. ISSN 2050-1242 (Print), 2050-1250 (Online) (In Press)

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Abstract

We investigate the impact of misinformation about the contact structure on the ability to predict disease outbreaks. We base our study on 31 empirical temporal networks and tune the frequencies in errors in the node identities or timestamps of contacts. We find that for both these spreading scenarios, the maximal misprediction of both the outbreak size and time to extinction follows an stretched exponential convergence as a function of the error frequency. We furthermore determine the temporal-network structural factors influencing the parameters of this convergence.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: network sampling, misinformation, network epidemiology
Faculty / Department / Research Group: Faculty of Business
Faculty of Business > Centre for Business Network Analysis
Faculty of Business > Department of International Business & Economics
Last Modified: 28 Dec 2018 23:44
Selected for GREAT 2016: None
Selected for GREAT 2017: None
Selected for GREAT 2018: None
Selected for GREAT 2019: None
URI: http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/22088

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