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Modeling deterioration in concrete pipes as a stochastic gamma process for time-dependent reliability analysis

Modeling deterioration in concrete pipes as a stochastic gamma process for time-dependent reliability analysis

Mahmoodian, Mojtaba and Alani, Morteza (2013) Modeling deterioration in concrete pipes as a stochastic gamma process for time-dependent reliability analysis. Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice, 5 (1). ISSN 1949-1190 (Print), 1949-1204 (Online) (doi:https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)PS.1949-1204.0000145)

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Abstract

Concrete sewer pipes encounter corrosion as a predominant form of deterioration that reduces the service life of the pipeline system and increases the costs of maintenance and rehabilitation. Reliability analysis can help pipeline owners and sewer-system managers to predict the service life of the pipes and the time for repair or replacement. To include uncertainties in the reliability analysis, the corrosion process can be considered a stochastic process. This paper presents a stochastic gamma process model to account for temporal variability and uncertainties associated with the corrosion process in concrete sewer pipes that typically increase the probability of failure with the aging of the pipe. The proposed methodology is then applied to a specific concrete sewer system. The key element of the proposed method is the use of the gamma process concept. A gamma process can model the monotonic behavior of the ageing and deteriorating process. The application of the gamma process presented in this paper can potentially contribute to widening the use of stochastic processes for the modeling of structural degradation processes such as wear, fatigue, corrosion, crack, erosion, and creep.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: [1] Article No: 04013008.
Uncontrolled Keywords: stochastic modeling, time-dependent reliability analysis, probability of failure, concrete pipes, sulfide corrosion, gamma process
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Pre-2014 Departments: School of Engineering
School of Engineering > Department of Civil Engineering
Related URLs:
Last Modified: 14 Oct 2016 09:26
Selected for GREAT 2016: None
Selected for GREAT 2017: None
Selected for GREAT 2018: None
Selected for GREAT 2019: None
URI: http://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/11202

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